Skip to main content

Memo 09

The Quiet Importance of Margin Discipline

Two footwear brands, both launched in the 2010s, both DTC-first, both culturally resonant, both operating in the same cost environment. In 2024, one posted a 60.6% gross margin and CHF 242 million in net income. The other posted a 42.7% gross margin and a $93 million net loss. The difference is not product quality or brand equity. It is the margin architecture that was chosen and defended from the start.

Gross margin is the least glamorous concept in consumer brand finance and the most consequential. It doesn’t make for a compelling narrative in pitch decks or press releases. It doesn’t show up on founder dashboards as frequently as revenue or customer acquisition cost. And yet it is the single number that, more than any other, determines what kind of business a consumer brand can become and how much operational flexibility it has at every stage of growth.

The reason is structural. Gross margin sets the ceiling for everything downstream. Marketing spend, salaries, operational infrastructure, debt service, retained earnings — all of these must be funded from what remains after the cost of goods has been accounted for. A brand operating at 65 percent gross margin has considerably more room to absorb the costs of building and running the business than one operating at 45 percent, even if both are growing at the same rate. That difference does not narrow with scale. It compounds.

On Running, FY2024: Net sales of CHF 2.32 billion — 29.4% growth on a reported basis. Gross profit margin of 60.6%. Net income of CHF 242.3 million. Adjusted EBITDA margin of 16.7%. Cash balance approaching CHF 1 billion. By Q3 2025, gross margin had expanded further to 65.7% — the highest in the company’s public history — and adjusted EBITDA margin had reached 22.6%. On went public in 2021. It has delivered expanding gross margin and profitability simultaneously with revenue growth every year since.

Allbirds, FY2024: Net revenue of $189.8 million — a 25.3% decline. Gross margin of 42.7%. Net loss of $93.3 million. Adjusted EBITDA loss of $70 million. At IPO in 2021, Allbirds management had projected a target gross margin of 60% — identical to On’s achieved figure. It was never reached. Revenue contracted instead of expanding, and the gross margin that should have been the foundation of the business was consistently 15 to 18 percentage points below where the model required it to be. Allbirds planned 20 U.S. store closures as part of its 2025 restructuring.

Consider the arithmetic at a simple level. A brand doing $3M in revenue at 65 percent gross margin generates $1.95M to cover all operating costs. The same brand at 45 percent gross margin generates $1.35M. The $600,000 difference is not marginal — it is the difference between having sufficient capital to invest in marketing, talent, and systems while maintaining a path to profitability, and being perpetually underfunded against the requirements of operating the business. At $10M revenue, that gap becomes $2M. It does not get easier to close at scale. It gets harder.

On Running and Lululemon — two of the few consumer brands in the athletic apparel and footwear space that have compounded profitability alongside revenue growth — share a structural characteristic: a consistent gross margin floor that has been defended across market cycles, cost environments, and channel expansions. Lululemon has maintained gross margin between 55 and 59 percent consistently since 2020, reaching 59.22 percent in FY2025. Operating margin reached 23.67 percent in 2025 after recovering from a temporary dip. Neither company treats margin as an aspiration. Both treat it as a constraint that governs product decisions, pricing strategy, and channel mix.

The temptation to trade margin for growth is one of the most common strategic errors in consumer brand building. The specific form it takes varies: production shortcuts that reduce COGS temporarily while compromising quality, discount-driven promotional activity that drives volume but erodes the price architecture, wholesale expansion that moves units but at margin rates that don’t support the DTC infrastructure the brand is simultaneously building. In each case, the immediate effect is favourable — revenue increases, growth metrics improve — and the structural damage is deferred. But it is not avoided.

Margin discipline begins at the product level. The cost of goods for each SKU, including all landed costs — production, freight, duties, and any quality-related overheads — must be known precisely, updated regularly, and used as a binding constraint on pricing decisions. Industry benchmarks place healthy apparel gross margins between 50 and 65 percent for DTC-primary brands, and considerably lower for wholesale-primary businesses. A product that cannot be priced to achieve the brand’s margin floor should not be in the range, regardless of how compelling the design is or how enthusiastically it has been received in development. The margin floor is not a preference. It is the financial architecture of the business.

It extends to channel mix decisions. A brand that is building out its DTC capability while simultaneously expanding wholesale is making an implicit bet that the blended margin across both channels will be sufficient to support the overhead each requires. That bet deserves explicit modelling before it is made. The BMO Capital Markets research — that DTC gross margins run roughly 2,350 basis points above wholesale — is often cited as an argument for DTC. It is more accurately read as evidence of the margin dilution that wholesale creates, and of the discipline required to price and structure the wholesale channel to protect the business’s overall margin position.

Margin discipline is also, in a deeper sense, a proxy for operational discipline. The brands that maintain their margin targets across market cycles, channel expansions, and inflationary cost environments do so because they have systems — for tracking costs, reviewing channel economics, managing promotional activity, and making range decisions — that treat margin as an inviolable constraint rather than an aspiration. The brands that allow margin to erode, often gradually and for reasons that seem locally reasonable, tend to find that the erosion is very difficult to reverse once it has become embedded in the business’s operating model. Protecting the margin from the start is dramatically less costly than recovering it later.

Sources: On Holding AG public filings and earnings releases (FY2024, Q2/Q3 2025); Allbirds public filings (NASDAQ: BIRD, FY2024); Lululemon 10-K filings FY2020–FY2025; BMO Capital Markets, ‘Is DTC More Profitable For Brands Than Wholesale?’; GuruFocus gross margin analysis; Sherwood News On Running Q3 2025 coverage.

← Back to Notes